Ezotop

Wednesday, December 6, 2023

Ocbc Bank - She has broken down 12.54 looks rather Negative and likely to go down to test 12.20 than 12.00.

 Ocbc Bank  - She has broken down 12.54 looks rather Negative and likely to go down to test 12.20 than 12.00.



Pls dyodd. 

Cautious mode!

Let's see if she will breakdown 12.54 level!

Breaking down would be rather Negative. 




Wah, durian is dropping! Quickly take shelter!

She has broken down the support at 12.60 and closed 15 cents lower at 12.54 accompanied with super high volume this is rather Bearish!



I think ia good to wait for it to stabilize first before deciding the next action!

Short term wise,  likely to go down to test 12.20 than 12.00. 

Pls dyodd. 

Ocbc Bank - She is rather weak! Likely to breakdown 12.60 and go further down to test 12.20 and 12.00.



Ocbc Bank - 3rd quarter results is out! Net profit is up 21% to 1.81b. 









9 month Net Profitis up 32% to 5.4b(record Profit). 
Net interest income is up 17% to 2.46b.
Net interest margin is up 2.26%.
It looks like NIM is still able to achieve +1bp for 3rd quarter.  


I think results is good but market doesnt seem to like it as the price has turned lower , down 12 cents to 12.94! Cautious mode!







30th October 2023:

 Chart wise,  bearish mode!



If 12.68 cannot hold,  most probably we may see her drifting lower to test 12.40 than 12.19 and 12.00.

Not a call to buy or sell! 

Pls dyodd.

 Last Friday closed lower at 12.79 with a Gap Down looks rather negative! Likely to see further selling down pressure!

Short term wise,  I think likely to go down to test 12.60 than 12.41 . Next she may go further down to test 12.17 than 12.00.

Please dyodd.



TA wise, bearish mode!



I think likely to go down to test 12.17 than 12.00.

Please dyodd. 

Chart wise,  bearish mode!

I think likely to go down to revist 12.00 than 11.80.
Please dyodd.




 She is going Ex.dividend on 14th August,  I think market is giving chance to secure the profit!

She is trading near the peak resistance and it may experience the same selling down price patterns as reflected on the chart! 



As interest rate is more or less peak and bank Net Interest Margin likely fall plus bad debts allowance might increase therefore,  total Revenue and Net income may be lowered! 

US bank already seen Analyst lowering their TP. I think is good ro be cautious!

Not a call to buy or sell!

Please dyodd.

So fast, asking for loan liao! 

4.5% seem not bad! 



Not a call to buy or sell.

Please dyodd. 


Wah, another Gap down upon results released looks like market already priced in the good sets of financial numbers and it doesn't boils well for this kind of price action!



Looks like the uptrend direction is halted and we may see further selling down pressure!

Please dyodd.

 All the 3 local banks attained good profit and all boosting their dividend payout. But going forward, profit may be lowered due to interest rate pause or bad debts  allowance.



Total Income of 6.8b.

RoE of 14.3%.



EPS 1.60 per share.

Interim dividend increase 43% from 0.28 to 0.40.

XD 14 August,  pay date 25 August. 

Yield of 6%. Is much higher than index reit.




TA wise, looks like the same price patterns may repeat itself! 



After hitting the resistance level it may likely see further weakness. 

I think is never wrong to lock in profit!

Don't let the profit slip away!

Please dyodd. 



TA wise,  bearish mode!

If she can't hold at 12.00 price level, 



the next support level Is 11.93 than 11.80.

Please dyodd.

 Chart wise,  bearish mode!

Likely to see further weakness!



Immediate support is at about 12.20.

Yearly dividend is about 0.65-0.68.

Yield is about 5.29% or 5.5% at 12.28 seems quite a gd yield!

Pls dyodd.

 OCBC Bank is the longest established Singapore bank, formed in 1932 from the merger of three local banks, the oldest of which was founded in 1912. It is now the second largest financial services group in Southeast Asia by assets and one of the world’s most highly-rated banks, with Aa1 by Moody’s and AA- by both Fitch and S&P. Recognised for its financial strength and stability, OCBC Bank is consistently ranked among the World’s Top 50 Safest Banks by Global Finance and has been named Best Managed Bank in Singapore by The Asian Banker.

OCBC Bank and its subsidiaries offer a broad array of commercial banking, specialist financial and wealth management services, ranging from consumer, corporate, investment, private and transaction banking to treasury, insurance, asset management and stockbroking services.

OCBC Bank’s key markets are Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia and Greater China. It has more than 420 branches and representative offices in 19 countries and regions. These include over 190 branches and offices in Indonesia under subsidiary Bank OCBC NISP, and over 60 branches and offices in Mainland China, Hong Kong SAR and Macau SAR under OCBC Wing Hang.

OCBC Bank’s private banking services are provided by its wholly-owned subsidiary Bank of Singapore, which operates on a unique open-architecture product platform to source for the best-in-class products to meet its clients’ goals.

OCBC Bank's insurance subsidiary, Great Eastern Holdings, is the oldest and most established life insurance group in Singapore and Malaysia. Its asset management subsidiary, Lion Global Investors, is one of the largest private sector asset management companies in Southeast Asia.


Yearly dividend of about 0.65 to 0.68.






Current Price of 12.23, yield is about 5.31% /5.5%.

P/B is slightly above 1.

The dividend yield is above 5% which is considered good!


Chart wise, it is trading in a consolidation mode!

Waiting for the next catalyst to drive the price higher.

Looking at the chart we can see some buying interest with huge volume transacted on certain day which is rather interesting!


Will it repeat the same price patterns!

We will know the answer in next few trading sessions!

Pls dyodd.



Tuesday, December 5, 2023

Prime USD Reit (OXMU.SI) - Wow! Looks like something is brewing! She has managed to recover from 12.8 cents to touch 18.5 cents seem like Buying interest is back with Full force, Bullish mode!

 Chart wise,  bullish mode!



Prime USD Reit (OXMU.SI) - Wow! Looks like something is brewing! She has managed to recover from 12.8 cents to touch 18.5 cents seem like Buying interest is back with Full force, The Bull is back! 

A nice breakout of 20.5 cents woukd likely tise up towards 23 than 25 and 30 cents. 

Pls dyodd. 

 Nice breakout at 16.6 cents!



Trading at 18.2 cents plus good volume looks like Buying interest is back! 

I think rising up tobtest 20.5 cents soon! 

Pls dyodd.


Prime USD Reit ( ) - I think the worst is over for the US reit counter as we witnessing the bullish candlesticks appearing on the chart gearing towards a reversal trend! As US CPI came in at 3.2% much better than market expectations of 3.3% looks like rate hike may pause for December and this is rather positive for reit! Do take note! 

TA wise, bullish mode!



Short term wise,  I think likely to rise up to test 16.6 cents than 18 and 20.5 cents with extension to 26 cents. 

Please dyodd.

 Chart wise, bullish mode!



I think she may rise up to test 16.6 cents .

A nice breakout of 16.6 cents plus good volume i think likely to see her rising up further to tesr 18.8 cents , 20.5 cents than 26 cents.

Pls dyodd.

 Chart wise, she has managed to bounce-off from the low of 0.087 cents and closed well with 2 bullish candlesticks at 0.113 looks rather interesting! 



As reflected on the chart, the 2 bullish candlesticks accompanied with high volume looks rather positive as this signify Fund are flowing into this counter! 

Short term wise,  I think this bullish momentum will continue and likely push the price higher towards 0.14 than 0.166 , 0.188 and 0.255. 

NAV is about 0.70.

Yearly dividend is about 4.9 USD cents.

Yield is a whopping 44% at current price of 0.113.

Please take note 3rd quarter results update on 7th November 2023.

I think golden opportunity is here!

Not a call to buy or sell!

Pls dyodd.


Paragon REIT - I think reit are slowly gaining strength and likely to continue to trend higher due to interest rate has peaked and paused! Looking at the chart she is trading near the historical low and might be presenting a golden opportunity at the current price level and slowly moving back to 1.00 target price!

Yesterday, closed slightly higher at 82.5 cents I think good progress and we may see further buying activities!



Paragon REIT  - I think reit are slowly gaining strength and likely to continue to trend higher due to interest rate has peaked and paused! Looking at the chart she is trading near the historical low and might be presenting a golden opportunity at the current price level and slowly moving back to 1.00 target price! 

Pls dyodd. 



Chart wise,  she has managed to bounce-off from 79 cents and touched the high of 85.5 cents and retracing down at 81.5-82 cents looks like a gd pivot point!



Yield is about 5.91% ay 81.5 cents.

NAV 90 cents. Gearing 30.1%. Pls dyodd. 

3rd quarter results is out! I think results is not bad! Gross Revenue is up 1.2% to 215.6m. Gearing is 30.1% and Occupancy rate is 98.1%.






No refinancing in 2.4 years time. 

Not a call to buy or sell!

Pls dyodd.


 She is due to report her 3rd quarter results on 31st October! 



Yield is about 6.05% , buay pai!

Pls dyodd.


Chart wise,  bearish mode!

I think she may go down to test 0.80.



Next support is at 0.79 and 0.725.

Pls dyodd.


 Wah, it has broken down 88 cents and closed lower at 83.5 cents, looks rather negative and may continue to trend lower! 

Today closing 1 big transactions sold down at 83.5 cents. 



I think likely to test 83 cents.

Next, 79- 80 cents is possible! 

Pls dyodd. 

 Chart wise,  bearish mode!

Today spotted big quantities selling own at 0.89 cents. Now trading at 0.885.





If 0.88 cannot hold,  then we may see her going down to test 0.83 than 0.79.

yearly dividend is about 4.84 cents.

Yield is about 5.46%.

NAV 0.90.

Not a call to buy or sell!

Please dyodd.



Corporate Profile

PARAGON REIT, formerly known as SPH REIT, is a Singapore-based real estate investment trust established principally to invest, directly or indirectly, in a portfolio of income-producing real estate which is used primarily for retail purposes in Asia-Pacific, as well as real estate-related assets.

PARAGON REIT was listed on the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (“SGX-ST”) on 24 July 2013 and is sponsored by Cuscaden Peak Investments Private Limited ("CPIPL" or the "Sponsor"), a wholly owned subsidiary of Cuscaden Peak Pte. Ltd., a consortium made up of three shareholders - Hotel Properties Limited; Mapletree Investments Pte.Ltd., and CLA Real Estate Holdings Pte.Ltd.

As at 31 August 2021, PARAGON REIT’s portfolio comprises five quality and well-located commercial properties in Singapore and Australia. The three properties in Singapore total up to 962,955 sq ft Net Lettable Area (“NLA”) with an aggregate value of S$3.3 billion, whereas the two properties in Australia have an aggregate Gross Lettable Area (“GLA”) of 1,721,801 sq ft, and an aggregate value of A$840.5 million.



Singapore

  • Paragon, a premier upscale retail mall and medical suite/office property, is located in the heart of Orchard Road, Singapore’s most famous shopping and tourist precinct. Paragon consists of a 6-storey retail podium and one basement level with 494,442 sq ft of retail NLA (“Paragon Retail”), with a 14-storey tower and another 3-storey tower sitting on top of the retail podium with a total of 223,098 sq ft of medical suites/offices NLA (“Paragon Medical”). It is a 99-year leasehold interest that commenced on 24 July 2013.
  • The Clementi Mall, a mid-market suburban mall located in the centre of Clementi town, an established residential estate in the west of Singapore. The retail mall, which also houses a public library, is part of an integrated mixed-use development that includes Housing Development Board (“HDB”) residential blocks and a bus interchange. The property is also directly connected to the Clementi mass rapid transit (“MRT”) station. The Clementi Mall consists of a 5-storey retail podium and one basement level with approximately 195,782 sq ft of retail NLA. It is a 99-year leasehold interest that commenced on 31 August 2010.
  • The Rail Mall, a retail strip with a 360-metre prominent road frontage to Upper Bukit Timah Road, an affluent residential neighbourhood and an F&B-dining destination. It is easily accessible via a network of public bus and MRT services through the Downtown Line (“DTL”). Accessibility is further enhanced by its proximity to the island’s major expressways including Bukit Timah Expressway (“BKE”) and Pan Island Expressway (“PIE”). One of the key access points to the Rail Corridor, a popular nature trail, is adjacent to The Rail Mall. The Rail Mall comprises 43 single-storey shop units with a total NLA of 49,882 sq ft. It is a 99-year leasehold interest that commenced on 18 March 1947.

Australia

  • Westfield Marion, the largest and only super regional shopping centre in South Australia. It is strategically located in Adelaide, approximately 10 km south-west from Adelaide’s Central Business District (“CBD”). It is in a highly accessible location bound by three major thoroughfares and arterial roads in Diagonal Road, Sturt Road, and Morphett Road, extending its access to shoppers beyond its usual catchment. Westfield Marion is also located next to the Oaklands Train Station, connecting it with Adelaide’s CBD and the southern coastline via multiple train lines. The freehold property sits on a land parcel of approximately 2.5 million sq ft, with approximately 1,495,132 sq ft of Gross Lettable Area (“GLA”). PARAGON REIT has a 50.0% stake in ownership.
  • Figtree Grove, an established sub-regional shopping centre located in New South Wales. It is approximately 3 km south-west of Wollongong and approximately 85 km south-west of Sydney CBD. The property is situated at the north-eastern corner of the Princes Highway and The Avenue – major thoroughfares which carry traffic between Wollongong CBD and the wider Wollongong area. The property sits on a freehold land area of approximately 547,883 sq ft and has a total GLA of approximately 236,614 sq ft with 940 carpark lots. PARAGON REIT has an 85.0% stake in ownership.

Monday, December 4, 2023

Ocbc Bank - Bearish mode! Likely to see further selling down pressure! Breaking down of 12.54 would be rather Negative! Cautious Mode!

Cautious mode!

Let's see if she will breakdown 12.54 level!

Breaking down would be rather Negative. 




Wah, durian is dropping! Quickly take shelter!

She has broken down the support at 12.60 and closed 15 cents lower at 12.54 accompanied with super high volume this is rather Bearish!



I think ia good to wait for it to stabilize first before deciding the next action!

Short term wise,  likely to go down to test 12.20 than 12.00. 

Pls dyodd. 

Ocbc Bank - She is rather weak! Likely to breakdown 12.60 and go further down to test 12.20 and 12.00.



Ocbc Bank - 3rd quarter results is out! Net profit is up 21% to 1.81b. 









9 month Net Profitis up 32% to 5.4b(record Profit). 
Net interest income is up 17% to 2.46b.
Net interest margin is up 2.26%.
It looks like NIM is still able to achieve +1bp for 3rd quarter.  


I think results is good but market doesnt seem to like it as the price has turned lower , down 12 cents to 12.94! Cautious mode!







30th October 2023:

 Chart wise,  bearish mode!



If 12.68 cannot hold,  most probably we may see her drifting lower to test 12.40 than 12.19 and 12.00.

Not a call to buy or sell! 

Pls dyodd.

 Last Friday closed lower at 12.79 with a Gap Down looks rather negative! Likely to see further selling down pressure!

Short term wise,  I think likely to go down to test 12.60 than 12.41 . Next she may go further down to test 12.17 than 12.00.

Please dyodd.



TA wise, bearish mode!



I think likely to go down to test 12.17 than 12.00.

Please dyodd. 

Chart wise,  bearish mode!

I think likely to go down to revist 12.00 than 11.80.
Please dyodd.




 She is going Ex.dividend on 14th August,  I think market is giving chance to secure the profit!

She is trading near the peak resistance and it may experience the same selling down price patterns as reflected on the chart! 



As interest rate is more or less peak and bank Net Interest Margin likely fall plus bad debts allowance might increase therefore,  total Revenue and Net income may be lowered! 

US bank already seen Analyst lowering their TP. I think is good ro be cautious!

Not a call to buy or sell!

Please dyodd.

So fast, asking for loan liao! 

4.5% seem not bad! 



Not a call to buy or sell.

Please dyodd. 


Wah, another Gap down upon results released looks like market already priced in the good sets of financial numbers and it doesn't boils well for this kind of price action!



Looks like the uptrend direction is halted and we may see further selling down pressure!

Please dyodd.

 All the 3 local banks attained good profit and all boosting their dividend payout. But going forward, profit may be lowered due to interest rate pause or bad debts  allowance.



Total Income of 6.8b.

RoE of 14.3%.



EPS 1.60 per share.

Interim dividend increase 43% from 0.28 to 0.40.

XD 14 August,  pay date 25 August. 

Yield of 6%. Is much higher than index reit.




TA wise, looks like the same price patterns may repeat itself! 



After hitting the resistance level it may likely see further weakness. 

I think is never wrong to lock in profit!

Don't let the profit slip away!

Please dyodd. 



TA wise,  bearish mode!

If she can't hold at 12.00 price level, 



the next support level Is 11.93 than 11.80.

Please dyodd.

 Chart wise,  bearish mode!

Likely to see further weakness!



Immediate support is at about 12.20.

Yearly dividend is about 0.65-0.68.

Yield is about 5.29% or 5.5% at 12.28 seems quite a gd yield!

Pls dyodd.

 OCBC Bank is the longest established Singapore bank, formed in 1932 from the merger of three local banks, the oldest of which was founded in 1912. It is now the second largest financial services group in Southeast Asia by assets and one of the world’s most highly-rated banks, with Aa1 by Moody’s and AA- by both Fitch and S&P. Recognised for its financial strength and stability, OCBC Bank is consistently ranked among the World’s Top 50 Safest Banks by Global Finance and has been named Best Managed Bank in Singapore by The Asian Banker.

OCBC Bank and its subsidiaries offer a broad array of commercial banking, specialist financial and wealth management services, ranging from consumer, corporate, investment, private and transaction banking to treasury, insurance, asset management and stockbroking services.

OCBC Bank’s key markets are Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia and Greater China. It has more than 420 branches and representative offices in 19 countries and regions. These include over 190 branches and offices in Indonesia under subsidiary Bank OCBC NISP, and over 60 branches and offices in Mainland China, Hong Kong SAR and Macau SAR under OCBC Wing Hang.

OCBC Bank’s private banking services are provided by its wholly-owned subsidiary Bank of Singapore, which operates on a unique open-architecture product platform to source for the best-in-class products to meet its clients’ goals.

OCBC Bank's insurance subsidiary, Great Eastern Holdings, is the oldest and most established life insurance group in Singapore and Malaysia. Its asset management subsidiary, Lion Global Investors, is one of the largest private sector asset management companies in Southeast Asia.


Yearly dividend of about 0.65 to 0.68.






Current Price of 12.23, yield is about 5.31% /5.5%.

P/B is slightly above 1.

The dividend yield is above 5% which is considered good!


Chart wise, it is trading in a consolidation mode!

Waiting for the next catalyst to drive the price higher.

Looking at the chart we can see some buying interest with huge volume transacted on certain day which is rather interesting!


Will it repeat the same price patterns!

We will know the answer in next few trading sessions!

Pls dyodd.



Sunday, December 3, 2023

Paragon REIT - I think boat is back for this reit counter trading at 81.5 cents and yield is about 5.91% , NAV 90 cents, I think is a gd pivot point to take note! They own Paragon mall, Clementi mall etc.

 

Chart wise,  she has managed to bounce-off from 79 cents and touched the high of 85.5 cents and retracing down at 81.5-82 cents looks like a gd pivot point!



Yield is about 5.91% ay 81.5 cents.

NAV 90 cents. Gearing 30.1%. Pls dyodd. 

3rd quarter results is out! I think results is not bad! Gross Revenue is up 1.2% to 215.6m. Gearing is 30.1% and Occupancy rate is 98.1%.






No refinancing in 2.4 years time. 

Not a call to buy or sell!

Pls dyodd.


 She is due to report her 3rd quarter results on 31st October! 



Yield is about 6.05% , buay pai!

Pls dyodd.


Chart wise,  bearish mode!

I think she may go down to test 0.80.



Next support is at 0.79 and 0.725.

Pls dyodd.


 Wah, it has broken down 88 cents and closed lower at 83.5 cents, looks rather negative and may continue to trend lower! 

Today closing 1 big transactions sold down at 83.5 cents. 



I think likely to test 83 cents.

Next, 79- 80 cents is possible! 

Pls dyodd. 

 Chart wise,  bearish mode!

Today spotted big quantities selling own at 0.89 cents. Now trading at 0.885.





If 0.88 cannot hold,  then we may see her going down to test 0.83 than 0.79.

yearly dividend is about 4.84 cents.

Yield is about 5.46%.

NAV 0.90.

Not a call to buy or sell!

Please dyodd.



Corporate Profile

PARAGON REIT, formerly known as SPH REIT, is a Singapore-based real estate investment trust established principally to invest, directly or indirectly, in a portfolio of income-producing real estate which is used primarily for retail purposes in Asia-Pacific, as well as real estate-related assets.

PARAGON REIT was listed on the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (“SGX-ST”) on 24 July 2013 and is sponsored by Cuscaden Peak Investments Private Limited ("CPIPL" or the "Sponsor"), a wholly owned subsidiary of Cuscaden Peak Pte. Ltd., a consortium made up of three shareholders - Hotel Properties Limited; Mapletree Investments Pte.Ltd., and CLA Real Estate Holdings Pte.Ltd.

As at 31 August 2021, PARAGON REIT’s portfolio comprises five quality and well-located commercial properties in Singapore and Australia. The three properties in Singapore total up to 962,955 sq ft Net Lettable Area (“NLA”) with an aggregate value of S$3.3 billion, whereas the two properties in Australia have an aggregate Gross Lettable Area (“GLA”) of 1,721,801 sq ft, and an aggregate value of A$840.5 million.



Singapore

  • Paragon, a premier upscale retail mall and medical suite/office property, is located in the heart of Orchard Road, Singapore’s most famous shopping and tourist precinct. Paragon consists of a 6-storey retail podium and one basement level with 494,442 sq ft of retail NLA (“Paragon Retail”), with a 14-storey tower and another 3-storey tower sitting on top of the retail podium with a total of 223,098 sq ft of medical suites/offices NLA (“Paragon Medical”). It is a 99-year leasehold interest that commenced on 24 July 2013.
  • The Clementi Mall, a mid-market suburban mall located in the centre of Clementi town, an established residential estate in the west of Singapore. The retail mall, which also houses a public library, is part of an integrated mixed-use development that includes Housing Development Board (“HDB”) residential blocks and a bus interchange. The property is also directly connected to the Clementi mass rapid transit (“MRT”) station. The Clementi Mall consists of a 5-storey retail podium and one basement level with approximately 195,782 sq ft of retail NLA. It is a 99-year leasehold interest that commenced on 31 August 2010.
  • The Rail Mall, a retail strip with a 360-metre prominent road frontage to Upper Bukit Timah Road, an affluent residential neighbourhood and an F&B-dining destination. It is easily accessible via a network of public bus and MRT services through the Downtown Line (“DTL”). Accessibility is further enhanced by its proximity to the island’s major expressways including Bukit Timah Expressway (“BKE”) and Pan Island Expressway (“PIE”). One of the key access points to the Rail Corridor, a popular nature trail, is adjacent to The Rail Mall. The Rail Mall comprises 43 single-storey shop units with a total NLA of 49,882 sq ft. It is a 99-year leasehold interest that commenced on 18 March 1947.

Australia

  • Westfield Marion, the largest and only super regional shopping centre in South Australia. It is strategically located in Adelaide, approximately 10 km south-west from Adelaide’s Central Business District (“CBD”). It is in a highly accessible location bound by three major thoroughfares and arterial roads in Diagonal Road, Sturt Road, and Morphett Road, extending its access to shoppers beyond its usual catchment. Westfield Marion is also located next to the Oaklands Train Station, connecting it with Adelaide’s CBD and the southern coastline via multiple train lines. The freehold property sits on a land parcel of approximately 2.5 million sq ft, with approximately 1,495,132 sq ft of Gross Lettable Area (“GLA”). PARAGON REIT has a 50.0% stake in ownership.
  • Figtree Grove, an established sub-regional shopping centre located in New South Wales. It is approximately 3 km south-west of Wollongong and approximately 85 km south-west of Sydney CBD. The property is situated at the north-eastern corner of the Princes Highway and The Avenue – major thoroughfares which carry traffic between Wollongong CBD and the wider Wollongong area. The property sits on a freehold land area of approximately 547,883 sq ft and has a total GLA of approximately 236,614 sq ft with 940 carpark lots. PARAGON REIT has an 85.0% stake in ownership.

Venture - She is gaining momentum and likely rise up to test 15.25! AGM is on 26th April, final dividend is coming! Yield is more than 5 percent for this blue chips counter, nice!

Venture  - She is gaining momentum and likely rise up to test 15.25! AGM is on 26th April, final dividend is coming! Yield is more than 5 pe...